Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.008499 0.009987 0.011770 0.014102 0.017122 0.020979 0.026408
2025-09-21 0.006563 0.008309 0.010643 0.014108 0.019346 0.027387 0.041660
2025-09-28 0.005691 0.007581 0.010309 0.014764 0.022380 0.036109 0.066705
2025-10-05 0.005260 0.007314 0.010483 0.016124 0.026982 0.050130 0.117656
2025-10-12 0.004789 0.006875 0.010257 0.016701 0.030387 0.064300 0.194819
2025-10-19 0.004290 0.006299 0.009676 0.016438 0.031934 0.075405 0.292714
2025-10-26 0.003948 0.005923 0.009358 0.016587 0.034494 0.092036 0.492687
2025-11-02 0.003610 0.005504 0.008888 0.016291 0.035827 0.106418 0.795308
2025-11-09 0.003244 0.004995 0.008173 0.015293 0.034849 0.111210 1.075994
2025-11-16 0.002954 0.004590 0.007605 0.014517 0.034251 0.117595 1.537365
2025-11-23 0.002801 0.004416 0.007462 0.014704 0.036734 0.143234 3.587277
2025-11-30 0.002618 0.004167 0.007139 0.014382 0.037439 0.160887 7.835903
2025-12-07 0.002410 0.003870 0.006714 0.013813 0.037422 0.177626 22.549987
2025-12-14 0.002269 0.003689 0.006515 0.013809 0.039649 0.219667 764.918713
2025-12-21 0.002193 0.003623 0.006549 0.014445 0.044968 0.316186 NaN
2025-12-28 0.002167 0.003652 0.006793 0.015764 0.054712 0.558477 NaN
2026-01-04 0.002092 0.003574 0.006782 0.016323 0.061502 0.876477 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001979 0.003406 0.006537 0.016069 0.063601 1.139149 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001897 0.003296 0.006419 0.016213 0.068509 1.733325 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001801 0.003149 0.006192 0.015926 0.070405 2.342795 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001681 0.002942 0.005796 0.014959 0.066716 2.351658 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001579 0.002770 0.005473 0.014205 0.064268 2.495072 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001529 0.002704 0.005410 0.014387 0.069324 4.356475 NaN